Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.017393 0.021902 0.027884 0.036686 0.049833 0.069729 0.104378
2025-01-05 0.011741 0.016193 0.022975 0.034852 0.057192 0.103252 0.230253
2025-01-12 0.009194 0.013388 0.020349 0.034045 0.064587 0.146510 0.517943
2025-01-19 0.008021 0.012243 0.019805 0.036407 0.080499 0.241869 1.885382
2025-01-26 0.007348 0.011705 0.020082 0.040571 0.106231 0.463715 26.019129
2025-02-02 0.006811 0.011254 0.020344 0.044911 0.140170 0.996205 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006111 0.010333 0.019320 0.045284 0.160842 1.801712 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005555 0.009585 0.018472 0.045769 0.184883 3.692083 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005076 0.008907 0.017613 0.045813 0.208747 8.616354 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004556 0.008065 0.016162 0.043145 0.210340 14.866468 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004175 0.007468 0.015211 0.041925 0.222905 40.198937 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003932 0.007136 0.014875 0.042942 0.260780 971.953564 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003640 0.006704 0.014305 0.043346 0.305574 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003296 0.006116 0.013208 0.041047 0.314259 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003038 0.005690 0.012474 0.040036 0.342403 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002915 0.005558 0.012552 0.043000 0.469030 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002847 0.005545 0.012978 0.048265 0.749235 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002777 0.005514 0.013348 0.053809 1.262785 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002627 0.005264 0.012947 0.054287 1.609154 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002494 0.005042 0.012594 0.054910 2.106661 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002367 0.004819 0.012194 0.054967 2.695296 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002208 0.004499 0.011398 0.051547 2.593424 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002086 0.004265 0.010874 0.049989 2.871563 NaN NaN